Waxman-Markey: how they voted, and the outlook

On Friday, the House passed sweeping legislation that would, among other things, set up a cap-and-trade system for carbon.

The bill passed 219-212. The NYT has the roll call here. 211 Dems and 8 Republicans voted yes. 44 Dems said no -- mostly conservatives, but there were also at least 2 who voted against it from the left (Kucinich and DeFazio -- of the Eugene / coastal Oregon district -- are the ones I saw, though perhaps there could be another or few I'm missing). (UPDATE 6/29: There's a third -- Pete Stark of CA. As noted on 538.)

The Senate will now have to make their own bill, pass it, and reconcile it with the House bill. Boxer says she hopes to have it out of her committee before the August recess; a vote could come in the fall -- or anytime before the end of the session in 2010. Somehow, just somehow, it would have to get 60 votes in the Senate.

For an analysis of the politics and outlook going forward, see Nate Silver.